August 07, 2006

A Learning Experience?

In my I95 journey, i was listening to a podcast about religion, and it got me thinking about everything. What it got me thinking about is one way to look at the history of human species is a series of learning experiences, where humankind learns to adjust to living in larger groups. We first lived in families, and then in tribes, but living in tribes had its challenges, such as communicating between members, and intertribe conflict. We learned to adjust to these new realities, and then lived in villages, which had other challenges such as defense and sanitation, and then in cities, with more and different challenges, and so on. At each stage, disasters, particularly local ecological disasters, become part of the learning experience.  We evolved from cities to citystates to nations, to what we have now, which is essentially a global international society, incredibly tightly interwoven.

Every stage, family, tribe, village, city, nation, every stage has had its challenges, its rewards, and disasters that become part of the learning experience.   We are currently in the stage of gobal society, where we are facing an energy, ecological, and human conflict disaster.  One way to look at the current state is a learning experience, for humankind to learn how to live globally.

Perhaps we make it, perhaps we dont. If we make it, we advance to the next stage, of a society that fills the solar system, and then perhaps the stars.

Series of stages, where disaster and conflict are part of learning for each stage, and are required to advance to the next stage.  We learn, we advance.

Perhaps thats the religion, to believe that humankind, even with all of the horror, is here for a purpose, is here to advance, is here to be part of the universe.

August 05, 2006

What I Believe

What I know and what I believe

We describe our personal knowledge by saying either “I know that…”, or by saying “I believe that…”. I reserve the first statement for those cases where the evidence is so overwhelming as to approach certainty. Examples would be “I know that the Earth orbits around the Sun”, or “I know that I will die.”

The second statement is normally used when the evidence for the statement is not compelling. Examples would be “I believe that room temperature superconductors will be discovered.”, or “I believe that I will live to an old age.”

In many cases, time converts “believe” declarations into “know” declarations. We will eventually know the truth or the falsehood of the assertions above as we collect more evidence. Technically speaking, the two declarations are falsifiable, in that they can in principle be proved or disproved by the collection of information.

The word “believe” is also used for statements that are not falsifiable. These assertions can never, even in principle, be proved or disproved. The most famous example of such a statement would be “I believe in God.” A scientific rationalist would never make declarations of this kind. She would point out that making any nonfalsifiable statement is equivalent to saying that 478 invisible, nonobservable angels can dance on the head of a pin.

I consider myself a scientific rationalist. Nevertheless, my Credo does include nonfalsifiable beliefs. Unlike a hardcore rationalist, I think that such statements serve a purpose. I leave it as an exercise for the reader to decide which of my declarations are falsifiable, and which are not.

Prologue

“We have become, by the power of a glorious evolutionary accident called intelligence, the stewards of life’s continuity on earth. We did not ask for this role, but we cannot abjure it. We may not be suited for it, but here we are.”
—Stephen Jay Gould

My Credo
•    I believe that the universe is more than the sum of its parts.

•    I believe that there is a purpose and a meaning to the universe, and that we do not yet know this purpose and meaning.

•    I believe that our species is special: there is a purpose and a meaning for our own existence.

•    I believe that it will take millennia, or longer, to discover the reason for our existence and of the meaning of the universe.

•    I believe that we will learn of this meaning through discovery and exploration of the universe: by using our collective intelligence to the utmost.

•    I believe that intelligence is rare or even unique in the universe. It is our precious gift that we cannot squander.

•    I believe that it is our destiny to explore the farthest reaches of our galaxy, and that purpose and meaning are to be found out there, and not here. The fact that travel between the stars may take hundreds or thousands of years is of little consequence when we think not of individuals, but of the species.

•    I believe that the most immediate task for our species is survival. If we do not survive, we cannot begin our journey to the stars.

•    I believe that the 21st century will be the most critical 100 years in human history. We must do what we can to create a moral world society that will ensure survival of our species.

•    I believe that we can help create this moral society by promulgating the principles of a global ethic. These principles must include statements of individual rights and freedoms, but also of the responsibilities of each and every one of us to assist in the survival of our species.

•    I believe that we must stress the importance of making long-term decisions. The environment that we destroy today will not be there for future generations. Our responsibility is not just to our fellow humans, but to our progeny in future millennia.

•    I believe that placing survival of a particular human generation ahead of the survival of the rest of the life on this planet will doom future generations. We have seen over and over how our long-term survival depends critically on the careful maintenance of the global ecosystem. Arrogance and ignorance will kill us just as surely as a nuclear holocaust.

•    I believe that all of us are immortal. We live on in the collective consciousness of the human race. I believe that this is good enough. We do not need a hereafter with angels and clouds to give us comfort of our continuance.

•    Finally, I believe that my own personal life has a meaning and a purpose. That meaning and purpose to help make sure that our species not only survives, but prevails.

Can we Know there is a Creator?

The topic for the debate is “Can we know that there is a Creator”. There are two key words in that topic: ‘Know’, and ‘Creator’, which we are just about to discuss. In my talk I will use the fact of the creation of the universe to help explain why it would not be possible to “know” something supernatural. I will then talk about what we mean by the word “Creator”, and why normal usage implies something supernatural, which we cannot “Know”.

Introduction-The Creation of the Universe

In the beginning, time and space appeared: from where we do not know. They appeared with a Bang, literally. The biggest bang imaginable. This explosion occurred simultaneously everywhere, not only in all space, but creating Space. Nanoseconds after the creation, the universe was an unimaginably dense and hot soup of matter and light that may not have been bigger than a person…

Events proceeded quickly at first, then more slowly. Particles combined into atoms. Atoms collected into clouds, which gathered into galaxies, which gave birth to stars, and thence to us. This is our modern creation story.  I find it much more awe inspiring than the one told in Genesis.

And I know that it is true.

How can I possibly make that statement? That I know that it is true? I can make that statement because of the way I define the word ‘know.’

What Can We ‘Know’ About the Universe?

Well, there is ‘knowing’, and there is ‘believing’. I believe that I will live a long life. But I do not know it. To ‘know’ something means that the objective evidence for that something is so overwhelming that there are no reasonable alternatives. In this context, the term ‘objective’ describes information that can be gathered that is independent of any particular observer.

So people used to ‘believe’ that the earth was a sphere. We now ‘know’ it, because of the preponderance of evidence for that fact. Certainly any sane, knowledgeable person on the planet will accept the earth’s sphericity.

Note that there is no absolute certainty in that statement of ‘knowing.’ We ‘know’ that the sun will rise tomorrow, although we cannot make that statement with absolute mathematical precision.  By the rigors of absolute certainty, we cannot ‘know’ anything. The universe could have been created a second ago. The earth could turn into blue cheese next week.

But to make such wild statements puts an end to intelligent discourse: we must have some ground rules. And our ground rules are preponderance of objective evidence.

Falsifiability

Note the very important flip side of our definition of knowledge: it must be falsifiable! Since knowledge can be verified by objective evidence, then it must also be falsifiable by the same objective evidence!

This distinction is usually used to separate objective knowledge from religious beliefs. Religious beliefs are not falsifiable by objective evidence. For example, the term ‘creation science’ makes little sense: the beliefs of creationists are not falsifiable, and hence are outside the realm of science. 
By our definition, a religious belief is not something that you can ‘know’ objectively. It must be a matter of faith. If it is something that you can ‘know’ objectively, then it is not religion: it is science.

Knowing, and Knowing

Of course, things are not quite that simple. For example, we ‘know’ that the earth is a sphere, right?
Wrong! The earth is not a sphere!

It is closer to a oblate spheriod, but even then, it is not quite right. Many scientists get into extremely heated arguments about the exact shape of the earth.

Does this mean that the ancients were right after all, that the earth is flat? Of course not! The fact that we are debating the fine details of the sphericity does not negate the original knowledge: The earth is approximately spherical.

This scientific statement has been verified so many times, in so many ways, that to not call it a fact is to leave the term ‘fact’ without meaning. We know, absolutely know, that the earth is approximately spherical. One should never confuse debate over the details with debate on the essentials, something that the national media is not particularly good at making clear.

What Can We Not ‘Know’ About the Universe?

Let us return to the creation of the universe.

Just as in the sphericity of the earth, the fact of the Big Bang has been verified so many times, in so many ways, that no rational scientist currently debates this essential point. However, that does not mean that we have the same levels of ‘know’ for the details.

For example, what happened before one hundredth of a second after the Big Bang? The conditions then were so far outside of our experience that nobody can say for sure.  It is a matter of deep theoretical debate. A matter of belief, so to speak, that may one day turn into knowledge.

I submit, however, that there are two questions about the creation of the universe that will never turn into knowledge. That are beyond ‘knowing’, in the sense that I have defined.

The first is this: what was going on before T=0, before the initiation of the creation? I believe that we can never ‘know’ that. Any evidence was swallowed up in the initial explosion.

The second question concerns the ultimate meaning of the universe. Nobody can even conceive what evidence one would attempt to collect to answer this question.

I believe that these two questions will never be ‘known’: they will always be a matter of religious faith.

Natural Versus Supernatural

We have talked at length about ‘knowing’. We now need to talk about the ‘Creator’. We must be clear what we mean by the word. If by ‘Creator’, we mean a synonym for the universe, or for ‘Nature’, then of course there is a Creator, or we would not be alive to have this debate. If that is what is meant, then we can all go home in complete agreement.

But wait. What most people mean by the term ‘Creator’ is something a bit different: a supernatural being that controls our destiny in some way.

So we have a definition of ‘Creator’. But what about ‘supernatural’? Supernatural is by definition something outside human knowledge: something that we cannot explain with what we know about the universe.

So let us say that the Creator is supernatural. Then she is outside our knowledge. Literally. We cannot ‘know’ her, in the sense of gathering objective evidence. If we could collect an overwhelming preponderance of evidence of her existence, then she would be ‘natural’. End of debate.

But hold on. Suppose the Creator is outside human knowledge today, but perhaps not in the future!  Perhaps, someday, we will understand what forces and fields she uses to shape the universe.  At that point, the Creator is no longer ‘supernatural’. She is ‘natural’, and most people would not call a being that we could understand completely a ‘Creator’.

For example, suppose the ‘Creator’ is actually a race of highly advanced extraterrestrials. They would initially be ‘supernatural’, in that they would use powers beyond our understanding. But should such a race be placed in the category of ‘Creator’? I  think not.

So we have a bit of a Catch22: either the Creator is supernatural, in which case she is beyond ‘knowing’, or she is natural, in which case we would not call her a Creator.  We cannot ‘know’ that there is a ‘creator’. QED.

I have absolutely no problem with this. One should have faith to believe in an ultimate meaning of the universe. Why should a ‘Creator’ be comprehensable by humans?

A Search for Morality

I would like to end my statement on a personal note: the source of my own moral beliefs.
The Columbia Flyer this week had two quotes that bothered me: one from Dostoyevsky, “If God is dead, then all things are permissible.”, the second from Mr. Yaguez, “If we are products of chance, then there are no rules…if we apply evolutionary philosophy, then anything goes.”

There are two fallacies in those statements. The first comes from what has come to be known as the “Anthropic Principle”, which briefly says that we cannot discuss how special and unique our planet is or we are, because if things had turned out differently, we would not be here to admire ourselves.
Suppose only one universe in a quintillion quintillion can support humans. We, of course, must exist in that universe. It would tell us nothing about any possible role for a “Creator” in the universe. Many creation science statements are incorrect because of this logical principle.

What does this principle have to do with the quotes? Just this: I submit that if human society had no morals, we would not be here having this debate: we would be beating each other to a pulp with sticks, or extinct. A highly advanced society is impossible without morality, and says nothing about the possible existence of a ‘Creator’.

The second fallacy is this. Cindy will verify that I am a deeply religious person. I believe that there is an Ultimate Meaning to the Universe, that there are supernatural causes, that there is a ‘Creator’. I believe that humankind is here for a reason, and that we cannot reach our ultimate destiny without a moral society. You do not need to believe in the God of the Christian bible to be moral. People that think otherwise have caused untold misery throughout history.

I have faith in my vision. You have faith in your vision. We both believe in an ultimate meaning. We both believe in morality. We should both agree that one must have Faith, that one cannot prove the superiority of Christianity over other religions and belief systems. I feel that in many respects we are closer to each other than many people would like to think.